Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 4.758115 5.249273 5.772667 6.372527 7.041768 7.766287 8.611174
2025-12-28 3.999602 4.686010 5.467104 6.424379 7.569561 8.899977 10.569103
2026-01-04 3.467461 4.271968 5.239381 6.494568 8.089043 10.058764 12.694591
2026-01-11 3.038232 3.906183 5.000137 6.490934 8.486194 11.087664 14.774281
2026-01-18 2.678602 3.572384 4.745570 6.414200 8.752280 11.950076 16.720548
2026-01-25 2.383976 3.283220 4.506487 6.313572 8.951526 12.718212 18.605788
2026-02-01 2.141802 3.035343 4.290288 6.208542 9.114717 13.430791 20.473338
2026-02-08 1.938599 2.819268 4.092415 6.099967 9.246747 14.092832 22.322676
2026-02-15 1.783454 2.656625 3.953385 6.058615 9.466051 14.897173 24.479450
2026-02-22 1.690404 2.577247 3.929226 6.187477 9.959588 16.179853 27.579504
2026-03-01 1.572033 2.447042 3.812591 6.152676 10.174469 17.014701 29.994477
2026-03-08 1.439016 2.281834 3.624973 5.980202 10.133444 17.398096 31.628052
2026-03-15 1.341782 2.168887 3.515979 5.935545 10.318856 18.215895 34.214447
2026-03-22 1.288641 2.124669 3.517295 6.081861 10.860558 19.741236 38.384431
2026-03-29 1.234661 2.074339 3.503351 6.198505 11.358322 21.239082 42.712375
2026-04-05 1.170158 2.000376 3.441555 6.220554 11.676856 22.423023 46.551939
2026-04-12 1.099074 1.909119 3.341219 6.159989 11.825859 23.281662 49.805749
2026-04-19 1.030253 1.816682 3.231201 6.069985 11.904810 24.001591 52.847106
2026-04-26 0.966484 1.728798 3.122658 5.972482 11.956873 24.667318 55.854644
2026-05-03 0.907494 1.645592 3.016540 5.869954 11.986762 25.285587 58.835200
2026-05-10 0.861097 1.582932 2.944948 5.831067 12.148135 26.211420 62.707206
2026-05-17 0.837084 1.561491 2.951675 5.954990 12.678336 28.036217 69.142443
2026-05-24 0.797216 1.506267 2.887268 5.921818 12.851284 29.044520 73.594731